NOAA predicting mild winter in New England

Theresa Obrien
October 21, 2018

During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the USA can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

The Climate Prediction Center issues updates its 3-month outlooks once per month, NOAA said, and the next update for this winter is expected November 15.

The Southeast, on the other hand, has equal chances of experiencing above-average, normal, or below-average temperatures.

The outlook says El Nino has a 70 to 75 percent chance of developing.

The winter outlook from NOAA calls for a wetter than normal season in the far southwest corner of the state.

"No part of the U.S.is favored to have below-average temperatures", Halpert said.

While this obviously shouldn't be taken as gospel, it does give us a brief look at what we can expect heading into the winter season.

During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the US and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.

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Warmer-than-normal conditions are anticipated across much of the northern and western USA, with the greatest likelihood in Alaska and from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains.

If NOAA's outlook holds true and much of the nation is milder than normal, it will mark the fourth straight warmer-than-normal winter for the Lower 48.

- Warmer-than-normal conditions are anticipated across much of the northern and western US, with the greatest likelihood in Alaska and from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains. The southern states of the US, as well as those in the Mid-Atlantic, are expected to receive above-normal precipitation.

"Snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance", the agency said.

The northern Rockies, northern Plains, Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley are likely to see below-average precipitation, including snow.

But they are expected to get better in Arizona and New Mexico, southern parts of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains, NOAA said.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center updates the three-month outlook each month.

From December to February the temperature is above average (for this period) is expected in the Western, southeastern, Central and northwestern States, as well as in Hawaii and even in Alaska.

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